By 2030, the healthcare workforce will be larger, more outpatient-focused, increasingly team-based and technology-enabled, dynamics that will reshape the physical footprint of care. For investors and operators, the challenge is not whether demand exists, but ensuring facilities, portfolios and investment strategies align with the care models of tomorrow, according to a Colliers analysis.
January's hiring data offers an early glimpse of this shift. Ambulatory healthcare services added more than 50,000 jobs, compared with 18,300 in hospitals and 13,300 in nursing and residential care facilities. That imbalance reinforces a long-observed trend that care delivery is moving away from centralized hospital towers toward community-based, distributed models.
Facilities supporting this workforce must be flexible, reconfigurable and strategically located near residential growth corridors, the analysis said. They also need to accommodate team-based care, reflecting the growing roles of nurse practitioners, physician assistants, behavioral health counselors and home health aides. Several of these roles command six-figure median salaries.
Two forces are driving this expansion. First, more than 10,000 Americans turn 65 each day, increasing demand for chronic care management, specialty services, and ongoing outpatient treatment associated with advancing age. Second, care models are evolving beyond physicians as the sole point of access, with advanced practice providers and home-based care teams taking on expanded responsibilities across primary and specialty care.
Unlike some sectors, healthcare roles appear relatively insulated from AI-driven displacement, with digital tools enhancing productivity rather than replacing staff. Facilities will require robust digital infrastructure, hybrid workspaces for providers, and layouts that seamlessly integrate telehealth, remote monitoring and collaborative workflows, Colliers said.
Financial pressures, however, complicate the picture. Potential federal healthcare spending cuts, Medicaid reductions, rising bad debt and charity care could constrain capital deployment. Some academic health systems are already freezing hiring or eliminating roles. For healthcare real estate leaders, this underscores the importance of strategic, flexible, and scalable investments that can adapt as workforce and care delivery models evolve, the report said.
Source: GlobeSt/ALM